Coinbase Going Public Is A Watershed Moment for the Cryptocurrency Industry

Coinbase going public will be making some people very rich as institutions start to dominate exchange’s volumes, while CT was disappointed in the money-making crypto company having surprisingly small amounts of digital currencies in their treasury balance sheet.

Coinbase Global Inc. has filed with the US SEC for a direct listing on Nasdaq, and it has the crypto market excited, and the traditional markets are taking notice, as the financial statements of the company revealed that the exchange has been making a lot of money.

Interestingly, a good majority, 85% of the 130 companies that went public in the US last year, was unprofitable. But with Coinbase, the matter is altogether different.

San Francisco-based reported revenue of $1.28 billion in 2020 versus $533.7 million in 2019.

Given the record trading volume, the number of new users, as well as the crypto trading platforms it has been acquiring in just the two months of 2021 amidst the wild bull run, the revenue in the first quarter will be off the charts and is expected to surpass $2 billion, for the exchange.

This puts Coinbase with over a $100 billion valuation, more valuable than CME, ICE which owns the NYSE, CBOE, and Nasdaq.

ErikVoorheesCoinbase

Source: Twitter

This will certainly be making Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, and its top executives, rich by billions of dollars as a result of this valuation, which would make it one of the biggest companies to go public since the social media giant Facebook.

The CEO owns 21.8% of the company’s voting power, followed by a16z’s Marc Andreessen at 14.2%, who owns twice as many shares as Armstrong, and co-founder Fred Ehsram 9%. In total, the 11-member board has the majority voting control.

coinbase-shares

Source: SEC Filing

To be listed under the ticker COIN, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup are the market makers who are also the advisors on the transaction with another addition Allen & Co.

One of the largest exchanges, Coinbase, reported 43 million verified users, steady growth from 23 million in Q1 of 2018. As for the transacting users, in Q4 of 2020, it was 2.8 million, nearly the same as 1Q18 at 2.7 million.

Unlike the transacting users, in 1Q18, when the market topped, Coinbase recorded $56 billion in trading volume, but during the last quarter, it was $89 billion.

The big difference has been in Coinbase’s volume by customer segment, as back in Q1 of 2018, retail dominated the exchange with more than an 80% share; it has completely changed to institutional accounting for 64% of volume in 4Q20.

Exciting & Embarrassing

Crypto Twitter (CT) has been excited about this development as Matt Huang, Co-founder at Paradigm, previously a partner at Sequoia, congratulated the company, “The Coinbase S-1 is just one step along the way toward building a legendary company… but still, one hell of a milestone.”

“This represents another major milestone in the development of the cryptocurrency industry,” tweeted Jay Hao, CEO of crypto exchange OKEx. “Coinbase’s S-1 filing will undoubtedly have a profound impact on the crypto market and usher in a new era of mainstream crypto adoption,” he added.

RobertLeshnerCoinbase

Source: Twitter

What really set off the CT was the fact that Coinbase, which started in 2012 when the price of BItcoin was about $5, holds only $130 million worth of BTC.

Square’s recently announced the purchase of $170 million worth BTC is more than this, and Coinbase’s BTC stash is nowhere even near Michael Saylor’s $2.171 billion bet on Bitcoin.

Besides having 55% of their modest crypto treasury, separate from cash and cash equivalents at $1.1 billion, the company has $24 million (10%) in Ethereum ETH -5.02% Ethereum / USD ETHUSD $ 1,446.93
-$72.64-5.02%
Volume 31.49 b Change -$72.64 Open $1,446.93 Circulating 114.84 m Market Cap 166.16 b
6 h Crypto Hedge Fund Arca is the Latest to Join the Crowd of Bitcoin Trust Issuers 6 h Coinbase Going Public Is A Watershed Moment for the Cryptocurrency Industry 7 h 1Inch Decentralized Exchange to Transition to Binance Smart Chain as Ethereum Exodus Begins
, $49 million (20%) in USDC stablecoin USDC -0.02% USD Coin / USD USDCUSD $ 1.00
$0.00-0.02%
Volume 2.46 b Change $0.00 Open $1.00 Circulating 8.59 b Market Cap 8.59 b
6 h Coinbase Going Public Is A Watershed Moment for the Cryptocurrency Industry 1 w Private Aviation Company Sees 20% Revenue Coming from Bitcoin Paying Users 1 w You Can Now Buy Bitcoin with Apple Pay as BitPay Adds Support
, and $34 million (15%) in other altcoins.

Given that Coinbase is a cryptocurrency-centered company, some even called this crypto stash “embarrassing.”

But many expect Amrstong, Ehsram, and other early backers to own heavy Bitcoin BTC -4.15% Bitcoin / USD BTCUSD $ 46,344.77
-$1,923.31-4.15%
Volume 351 b Change -$1,923.31 Open $46,344.77 Circulating 18.64 m Market Cap 863.85 b
5 h A “BIG Deal:” Stone Ridge Files to Add Bitcoin to its Diversified Alternatives Fund 6 h Crypto Hedge Fund Arca is the Latest to Join the Crowd of Bitcoin Trust Issuers 6 h Coinbase Going Public Is A Watershed Moment for the Cryptocurrency Industry
and crypto bags personally.

Coinbase going public, meanwhile, is also expected to be bullish for other exchanges and their tokens. “I think the bigger the Coinbase IPO gets, the better for exchange tokens. Doesn’t matter that owning an exchange token ≠ actually owning stock. Just matters that a lot of people will feel priced out of coinbase” noted trader DonAlt.

As we reported, US-based Kraken is also planning to raise funds that could more than double its valuation and surpass $20 billion.

Interestingly, in its filing with the SEC, Coinbase also mentions that they do not maintain a headquarter as of May 2020 and that they have become a remote-first company.

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Author: AnTy

Global Digital Finance Warns Hong Kong’s Proposed Rule Will Send Crypto Investors to Unregulated Exchanges

Global Digital Finance Warns Hong Kong’s Proposed Rule Will Send Crypto Investors to Unregulated Exchanges

Recently, the crypto industry players in Hong Kong have focused on fighting a proposed law that limits crypto trading only to professional investors, which will practically see about 93% of the populace locked out of the crypto market.

A key cryptocurrency advocacy group, Global Digital Finance (GDF), is warning that if the proposed law goes through, most retail investors and traders will move to unregulated and unlicensed platforms.

Global Digital Finance is made up of leading crypto exchanges such as Coinbase, BitMex, OKCoin, and Huobi, steering the efforts against the proposed new legislation.

Their caution comes after the independent Financial Services. The Treasury Bureau (FSTB) came up with a crypto regulation framework late last year that seeks to ban all retail traders from participating in the crypto market. At the time, the regulator stated that the proposal was in line with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) recommendations. At the time, the regulator explained that the new law was also meant to tighten Anti-Money Laundering (AML) as well as counter-terrorism financing measures.

However, the proposed law exceeds FATF’s recommendations and is in tandem with the stringent stance against crypto trading in mainland China.

The new law is under the public participation phase and is set to end soon before the legislation becomes law.

“Restricting cryptocurrency trading to professional investors only is different to what we have seen in other jurisdictions, such as Singapore, the UK, and the US, where retail investors can buy and sell virtual assets,” Said GDF’s chair, Malcolm Wright.

Wright explained that Hong Kong risks joining other crypto-hostile destinations stating that other FATF members such as the United States, United Kingdom, and Singapore all permit retail investors to participate in the crypto market.

A recent survey conducted by CitiBank found that only 504,000 people (7%) owned enough assets that meet a professional investor’s requirements.

The group also explained that the restrictions would also curtail innovation and even financial inclusion.

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Author: Joseph Kibe

The Elephants are Moving In; Next Will be the Baby Boomer Wealth: Galaxy Digital CEO

The Elephants are Moving In; Next Will be the Baby Boomer Wealth: Galaxy Digital CEO

Morgan Stanley is now considering becoming a Bitcoiner.

The banking giant’s $150 billion investing arm, Counterpoint Global, is considering adding Bitcoin to its list of assets, reported Bloomberg, citing people with knowledge of the matter.

Counterpoint Global is led by Dennis Lynch and looks for unique companies whose market value can increase significantly, something Bitcoin more than fills the criteria.

The group oversees about 19 funds with prominent investments, including Amazon, Slack, Zoom, Shopify, and Moderna.

Moving ahead with its Bitcoin bet would require the approval of the regulators and the firm.

This morning Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market is recovering from the sell-off that came not long after the price of Bitcoin nearly hit a new milestone of $50,000 following the BNY Mellon announcing support for the digital asset and Canada approving the first North American Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Already, Tesla has bought $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin, and Mastercard will begin allowing cardholders to transact in selected cryptos on its network.

“The key for Bitcoin’s path higher is to win over more corporate endorsements,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp.

“Bitcoin is no stranger to massive weekend moves and the next several days could easily see some wild swings.”

Even JP Morgan Chase, whose CEO Jamie Dimon called Bitcoin a “fraud,” is looking to get in with its Co-President Daniel Pinto saying that they will support Bitcoin if they find client demand, which isn’t there yet, but he’s certain that’ll change.

As such, according to Mike Novogratz, the chief executive officer of crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital, the market is yet to see more cash rush in, which is the Baby Boomer money — the “giant generational wealth transfer that’ll happen when they die off,” he said.

“I would tell you the big, big group that hasn’t participated is the baby boomer wealth channel in America,” which can’t participate through Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, UBS, and others yet.

But “that’s all going to change in the next two years. I can guarantee it’s going to change because I’m seeing it. We’re working with companies, it’s going to change,” said Novogratz in a recent episode of the Odd Lots podcast.

According to him, that’s why “the elephants,” the banking giants, have been lately moving in. They would first start with their wealth management division and then their trading business.

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Author: AnTy

JPMorgan Co-President: The Bank Will Get Involved in Bitcoin If Demand is There

JPMorgan Co-President: The Bank Will Get Involved in Bitcoin If Demand is There

Which Daniel Pinto says isn’t there yet but will be at some point.

JPMorgan Chase is onboard to support Bitcoin if the banking giant sees demand for the cryptocurrency from its clients.

In an interview with CNBC, Co-President Daniel Pinto said the client demand isn’t there yet, which he’s certain will change. He said,

“If over time an asset class develops that is going to be used by different asset managers and investors, we will have to be involved.”

“The demand isn’t there yet, but I’m sure it will be at some point.”

Pinto has signaled that he is open-minded about Bitcoin in a recent company meeting, CNBC said, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter.

Back in late 2017, JPMorgan CEO, Jamie Dimon, called Bitcoin a “fraud,” which is currently trading at $48,000.

This week, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high at $49,000 and is up nearly 12x from its March low.

Yesterday, America’s oldest bank BNY Mellon announced that it would hold, transfer, and issue Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, including stablecoins and CBDCs. This week has been full of institutional adoption reports from Twitter, Uber, and GM following Tesla’s announcement of $1.5 billion worth of Bitcoin purchase.

Another banking giant, Goldman Sachs, has also been reportedly eyeing the cryptocurrency market. Last week, Goldman Sachs hosted a private forum with Mike Novogratz, the founder, and CEO of crypto firm Galaxy digital, for clients and employees.

“It’s possible Galaxy could help Goldman and other banks facing the same challenges,” said Damien Vanderwilt, co-president of Galaxy, who spent over two decades at Goldman Sachs. Vanderwilt expects “a range of releases over 2021,” with more corporates, pensions, and insurance companies to invest in Bitcoin.

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Author: AnTy

General Motors CEO: “No Plans to Invest in Bitcoin” But will Evaluate Accepting it as Payment

General Motors (GME) CEO: “No Plans to Invest in Bitcoin” But will Evaluate Accepting it as Payment

Ever since electric vehicle company Tesla announced that it had purchased $1.50 billion worth of Bitcoin, everyone wants to know which company will be the next to make the same decision.

Already publicly-listed, Square and MicroStrategy have done so. As we reported, even Twitter is considering adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet, but the company hasn’t made any changes yet.

So, it was only natural that people want to know if General Motors (GM) is considering the same as the company reported its fourth-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street expectations.

However, GM has no plans as such.

General Motors CEO and Chairman Mary Barra said the automaker has no plans for investing in Bitcoin. The silver lining here is that the company will be monitoring customer demand regarding accepting cryptocurrency to pay for its vehicles and services.

The company reported revenue of $37.5 billion, more than the expected $36.12 billion. GM is planning to accelerate its all-electric and autonomous vehicle development and rollout. “We are investing in the business,” Barra said.

“We see tremendous growth opportunities and we’re also accelerating EVs; $7 billion alone of the $9-$10 billion is focused on EV/AV. So we see tremendous opportunity there.”

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Author: AnTy

Traders Can Now Bet if Ethereum’s Price Will Be Over $25k in December on Deribit

Traders Can Now Bet if Ethereum’s Price Will Be Over $25k in December on Deribit

3.5 mln ETH options contracts traded on Deribit in Jan. 2021, up 18% from Dec. 2020. OI on Eth options also surged to 1.8 billion.

Not just Ether price expecting $10k or $20k, now people can also bet on the price of ETH going above $25k on Deribit.

The popular options market has added new ETH options contracts with a $25,000 strike price in the Dec. 21st expiry in line with its “introduction policy.”

This just means Deribit has made a market available to bet on ETH price at $25k in December; a trader can take either the long side of it or the short side of it. One can buy a ‘call’ option if they believe the price will move higher and buy ‘put’ options if they believe the price is going to fall.

Just yesterday, Ether made a new all-time high at $1,575 and has entered into its price discovery.

The leading options platform in the cryptocurrency market, Deribit, had 3.5 million ETH contracts traded in January. In a “groundbreaking record,” the options open interest also exceeded USD 10 billion, with OI on ETH contracts surging from $800 million to 1.8 billion.

Compared to 3,529,404 ETH options contracts traded in January 2021, up 18% versus December 2020, 800,690 BTC options contracts were traded in the same month, which increased 21% from the previous month on Deribit.

image1

“As more ETH get staked, and institutional investors are expanding their crypto holdings, bullish ETH market sentiment persists,” noted Deribit in its January institutional newsletter.

Options are getting increasingly popular in the cryptocurrency market, which in turn is increasing the effect of the contract expiries on the underlying asset’s price. Deribit’s total options turnover was also $31.9 billion, a whopping 90% jump from December.

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Author: AnTy

Grayscale Donates $1M in Support of Crypto Advocacy Group; Will Match Another Million

Grayscale Donates $1M in Support of Crypto Advocacy Group; Will Match Another Million

Major digital asset manager Grayscale investment is donating $1million and would match further pledges from other firms

Top asset manager Grayscale Investments has donated $1 million to crypto-based think tank Coin Center. Grayscale also plans to match subsequent pledges from donors up to an additional $1 million, per an official announcement. The donate and match campaign is set to run through the end of February 2021. Grayscale’s CEO Michael Sonnenshein explains,

“While it is the responsibility of blockchain and digital currency firms to support good policy-making in DC to drive this industry forward, it is in the interest of all users, developers, investors, and other market participants that regulators are properly informed about developments in this space.”

Grayscale’s donation takes a cue from Kraken that raised over $3 million for the cryptocurrency advocacy group in 2018. Jerry Brito, executive director of Coin Center, in a statement,

“We’re grateful and humbled by this generous commitment from Grayscale and the ongoing commitment by so many other individuals and firms who support us.”

Educating Policymakers on Cryptos

Coin Center is a Washington-based think tank created to advance public policy that benefits the blockchain space.

The advocacy group is known for fighting for Bitcoin’s cause. In 2017, Brito testified before members of the Terrorism and Illicit Finance Subcommittee of the House Financial Services Committee, explaining in simple details how Bitcoin works.

At the hearing, the Coin Center chief advocated for a deep understanding of the technology before slamming restrictive regulations on it.

Last month, Coin Center formed part of the opposition against the Treasury Department’s move against self-hosted wallets. Coin Center published an expert take from C Labs executive Jai Ramaswamy, who argued against restricting self-hosted wallets to detect and disrupt illicit financial activity in support of noncustodial wallets.

Grayscale’s donation comes amidst a change of guard as a new administration settles into Washington. With the new faces at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) helms and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) comes new ideas and possibly new regulations. However, there are speculations that the Biden administration is tapping technocrats with experience with blockchain technology.

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Author: Jimmy Aki

Regulation Will Only Boost Mass Institutional Buying and Selling: BitPay COO

Regulation Will Only Boost Mass Institutional Buying and Selling: BitPay COO

Sonny Singh says $20k is BTC’s floor price and expects $45k next month. According to him, Coinbase’s IPO is “very very instrumental” for the market and its numbers will blow Wall Street’s minds away.

$20,000 is the floor price for how far Bitcoin could go down, said Sonny Singh, Chief Commercial Officer at BitPay.

As for the upside, given that his $30k target has been hit in just 20 days rather than taking over a month, with “very little sell-side pressure,” he sees BTC going to $40k-$45k next month when some pressure will be seen.

Sonny also predicted that this year Bitcoin will “become a trillion-dollar currency” and the magic number for that is $54,000 roughly. At this point, he expects, even governments and the Treasury Department to start buying BTC “which may sound far-fetched but two years ago corporations buying bitcoin for the balance sheet was crazy too.”

Supply & Demand

Talking about the current price movement in the market, Sonny said Monday’s 20% correction was “just a minor blip in the road” — it wasn’t long-term fundamentals at all rather just futures getting liquidated. Singh said in his interview on Bloomberg,

“What you’re seeing over the last month is there’s supply and demand. There are a lot of institutional buyers out there and there’s very little supply.”

While these buyers have bought in all the BTC for a three to five-year time horizon, if Bitcoin hits about $45,000 next month or so and these institutions decide to start selling, the selling pressure of $200 million which the industry has never seen before can cause a catapulting event, to cause things to come down pretty quickly and there $20k will act as a floor, he explained.

Regulatory Concerns

On the regulation side, which remains a concern for outsiders, it is already happening. Governments are passing a lot of KYC/AML policies on the exchange but “that really won’t slow growth,” said Singh.

While it may slow the utility of sending Bitcoin to your friends or spending it at merchants, regulation will only help the actual mass institutional buying and selling, he said.

As for the Ripple part, Singh said it is to be seen if the SEC would want to do a long drawn out court case or do a quick settlement, especially as the administration changes under the new president.

According to Wayne Trench, chief executive officer at OSL, the main regulatory hurdles are already solved in terms of custody and clarity.

The last remaining pieces are regulators globally collaborating cross-border which is starting to happen now, said Trench noting that industry bodies are working on collaborating across borders that we’ll see play out a bit more in 2021.

Big for the Market

Singh also believes Coinbase’s IPO is “very very instrumental” for the market because while Wall Street loved that Square traded $1.6 bln with crypto in Q3 last year, Coinbase traded $1.5 bln on this last Saturday.

“The revenue numbers at Coinbase are going to blow people’s minds away and then Wall Street is going to really drive that stock price up,” he said. And then Charles Schwab, E-Trade, and others won’t sit back and let Coinbase have a sole market, Singh added.

“It’s going to put a lot of media frenzy around this whole industry.”

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Author: AnTy

Ukraine’s CBDC, the Digital Hryvina, Will Run on Stellar’s Blockchain

Ukraine’s CBDC, the Digital Hryvina, Will Run on Stellar’s Blockchain

Besides working on a central bank digital currency, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) will also help with the development of digital assets and regulation of stablecoins in the country.

The Ministry of Digital Transformation of Ukraine signed a Memorandum of Understanding and Cooperation with Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) on Dec. 28.

SDF announced on Monday, this week, that as per the memorandum they will work on the development of virtual assets in Ukraine.

In response, XLM recorded gains, going to nearly $0.17 XLM 20.28% Stellar / USD XLMUSD $ 0.19
$0.04 20.28%
Volume 2.57 b Change $0.04 Open $0.19 Circulating 21.95 b Market Cap 4.28 b
2 h Ukraine’s CBDC, the Digital Hryvina, Will Run on Stellar’s Blockchain 2 w Stellar Invests $3 Million in Digital Assets Settlement Network Across LATAM 3 w XLM Records Impressive Volume; Co-founder says Team Is Making Stellar ‘Useful for Real People’
.

The latest efforts align with the country working on creating a legal environment for the development of digital assets in Ukraine and enhancing its status as an innovative digital country in the financial market in Eastern Europe.

“Another important aspect of this cooperation is contributing to the development of the infrastructure for a Ukrainian national digital currency,” said Oleksandr Bornyakov, Deputy Minister of Digital Transformation for IT Development.

The National Bank of Ukraine has been researching the possibility of CBDC implementation since 2017, Bornyakov said.

As per the memorandum, both will cooperate on the development of the virtual assets market in Ukraine, supporting projects related to virtual assets; implementation and regulation of stablecoin circulation in the country; and development of the digital currency of the Central Bank (CBDC) in Ukraine.

“We look forward to working with the Ministry and other stakeholders to digitize the hryvnia, to bring Stellar-based tools and services to the people and businesses of Ukraine, and to introduce new partnership opportunities in Ukraine to businesses in the Stellar ecosystem.”

Denelle Dixon CEO: Stellar Development Foundation

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Author: AnTy

Bitcoin Is Ready to Welcome The New Year With Blast; Chance Of A Pullback?

Several factors point to an upcoming correction, what will be instructive for next year’s flows would be whether institutions “buy on a potential dip.”

Bitcoin vaulted above $29,000 to hit yet another record high with just one day left to end 2020. But it is showing no signs of slowing down its crazy December rally that has it up over 50% this month.

The digital asset climbed as high as $29,275 before pulling back to $28,045 but is now just above $28k.

And with these gains came over $540 billion market cap which helped Bitcoin flip its skeptic Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway and become the 10th largest asset by market capitalization.

Interestingly, while volume on Wall Street is winding down due to the holidays, crypto volumes are seeing record-breaking levels.

As Paul Vigna, a reporter at the Wall Street Journal noted, in his 3-decade experience covering financial markets, he has “never seen a group of people so insanely bullish on a specific asset class.”

This latest uptick in BTC price coincided with increased stablecoin deposits on crypto exchanges. However, such transactions are now decreasing.

A Potential Dip

Bitcoin has been going strong ever since the March sell-off and since then we have yet to see any meaningful pullback.

“BTC would have a correction when the spot inflow of institutional investors slows down,” says Ki-Young Jo, CEO of data provider CryptoQuant. He noted that Grayscale hasn’t purchased any BTC since Dec. 25. Also, we haven’t had significant Coinbase outflows since last week.

The relative strength indicator is also flashing red, putting the digital asset into overbought territory, suggesting the coin is “close to a top.”

“Key to this rally is that it has been sustained over several weeks,” said Matt Long, head of distribution and prime products with crypto brokerage OSL in Hong Kong. “If we do see a break to the downside, it will be instructive on the direction of first-quarter flows whether we see institutions continue to buy on a potential dip.”

The market has long been anticipating a correction that is yet to be seen. In the light of strong demand for Bitcoin, experts believe it won’t be as deep, 30% to 40%, as we saw during the 2017 bull run but less than half of that and even that would be quickly scooped off.

“My sense is we’re very close to a top — we could hit $30,000 though,” said Vijay Ayyar, head of business development with crypto exchange Luno in Singapore. “We should definitely see a pullback, but the magnitude is probably lesser. We might only see 10% to 15% drops.”

According to Ayyar, a lot of things have been validated this year, and “Bitcoin is now a real alternative.”

Regulatory Worries

Regulators are also keeping things slightly uncertain. After the SEC sued Ripple Labs and its top executives for allegedly selling unregistered security XRP, it has been speculated that they are “sniffing around a number of projects and companies.”

The market can see the biggest hit if a stablecoin like the dominant USDT gets targeted. And although some may feel so, “Tether is registered and regulated under FinCEN as all the centralized competitors. Strict KYC/AML is applied to all Tether direct users, as the other main issuers are doing. Less regulated is just FUD,” clarified Paolo Ardoino, CTO at Tether and Bitfinex.

When it comes to Tether, the “SEC isn’t the agency to be worried about,” said Jake Chaervinksy, General Counsel at Compound Finance. The NYAG is already pursuing Tether in a Martin Act investigation, He said earlier this week that the handover of loan documents will be completed in “the coming weeks.”

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Author: AnTy