Bitcoin Market in Backwardation Supports A ‘Cautious Tone’ for BTC Price Short Term

  • Bitcoin price certainly go down but wouldn’t be “surprising if they keep melting up”
  • June Bitcoin futures contracts on BitMEX trading as low as $6,665 while $6,725 on CME
  • A break below $5,000 zone will be particularly painful

The price of Bitcoin on spot exchanges is currently trading around $6,750 after sliding below $7,000 over the weekend. Some extremely bearish predictions are even calling for fresh lows.

However, the good thing is Bitcoin has found a “higher floor” and given that currently, the cash on exchanges is at all-time highs and sentiments are still near their all-time lows, and leverage at two-year lows, “it is VERY hard to short risk assets into a wall of cash right now, including Bitcoin. Prices can certainly go down, but it would not be surprising if they keep melting up,” said Jeff Dorman of Arca.

The stock market is also recording losses amidst the report of the largest drop of 8.7% on record going as far as 1967 in the US retail sales for March. This has been because of the majority of people staying home to slow the spread of coronavirus amidst the news of companies furloughing employees.

Treasury yield also fell to a 7-year low on the back of this data. The two-year-old hit the lowest level of 0.199% since July 2012.

The relief came in the form of stimulus checks that the government started sending late last week that Americans are largely spending on food and gas.

Lower prices in the future

This week, we started seeing the open interest on Bitcoin futures slowly rebounding.

However, bitcoin futures are in backwardation which means the price of an underlying asset currently is higher than prices trading in the futures market.

On CME, June 2020 contracts are trading at $6,725 while Bakkt’s June contracts are at $6,755.

Bitcoin perpetual swaps meanwhile are at a much lower price.

The June Bitcoin futures contracts on Kraken are trading at $6,721, $6,707 on FTX, $6,690 on Deribit, $6,683 on Huobi, $6,668 on OKEx, and the lowest on BitMEX at $6,665, as per Skew Markets.

Futures data suggests speculators are expecting to see lower prices in the near future.

According to Denis Vinokourov, head of research at Bequant, a crypto investment brokerage, “a break below $6,500 level will likely lead to another round of liquidations and send the price towards the $6,100/ $6,200 area.”

With not much support until the $5,000 zone, “a break below will be particularly painful,” for bulls, as such calling for a cautious tone which is supported by the shift in the futures curve into backwardation.

Over-the-counter (OTC) bitcoin liquidity provider B2C2 also warns of caution with the weekly BTC chart “tapped the trendline and formed a shooting star. Unfortunately no follow-through in a negative funding environment (leveraged shorts outweigh longs).”

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Author: AnTy

Crypto Crap Is Not Compliant and is for Drug Dealers: Shark Tank Investor Kevin O’Leary


As with pretty much anything else, it is not surprising that there are those who have problems with the fundamental nature of certain technology. Cryptocurrency and blockchain technology have been praised by many as a very important innovation to bring about commendable changes and improvements to the current practices in today’s traditional and financial markets.

Regardless of its many uses, a lot of people including high-ranking members of certain governments are not happy with the basic design of cryptocurrency and are afraid that it could bring about certain problems. Already on the darkweb, cryptocurrency is the most preferred payment method and because it is largely untraceable and irreversible, it has been a big problem for law enforcement agencies. Also a few months ago, a US congressman called on his colleagues to shutdown the use of cryptocurrency because it affects the country’s financial sovereignty. Now another person who has been a vocal soldier in the anti-crypto army is Kevin O’Leary, a Canadian TV personality and businessman.

Cryptocurrency Is Crap And Non-Compliant

Popularly known as Mr. Wonderful, O’leary expressed his disapproval for digital assets, saying the fact that the sector is largely unregulated and does not comply with most global financial statutes is a big problem for him.

O’leary said:

“If I want to be compliant and I don’t want to breach any regulators because I’m a participant in financial service globally – and that is where the majority of money is – … I have to be compliant. I have no interest in doing any of this crypto crap because it is not compliant and regulators in all countries do not agree.”

In his short rant, O’leary proposed a different currency that would be a digital asset backed by four of the most prominent currencies including the U.S. Dollar, the Euro, the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen. Hypothetically calling it the WonderCoin, O’leary said it would be fully regulated and used to pay taxes, handle debts, purchase equities and also easily be converted to any of the four fiat currencies. Anything apart from this would be untenable for him as he said:

“All of this non-compliant stuff, I don’t want to get involved with a drug dealer trading Bitcoins somewhere. I want nothing to do with that.”

Jeremy Allaire, the co-founder and CEO of Circle was on the other end of the conversation and tried to straighten things out for O’leary. Allaire explains that saying the cryptosphere is completely devoid of regulation would be untrue because entities who serve as middlemen between the traditional financial system and the cryptosphere are fully regulated by the government. He said:

“The crypto industry has been regulated in the U.S. since 2013. If you want to sit between the banking system and cryptocurrency, you have to be licensed as a financial institution.”

O’leary was however not satisfied with anything Allaire said and still called crypto a “rogue currency.”

This isn’t the first time Mr wonderful has publicly spoken against cryptocurrency. Back in May, O’leary said bitcoin is a useless currency because people who use it seem to only want a hedge due to the instability.

Halt The Libra!

The fight against crypto is still ongoing as on Tuesday, July 2, members of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services wrote a letter to Facebook asking that “Facebook and its partners immediately agree to a moratorium on any movement forward on Libra – its proposed cryptocurrency and Calibra – its proposed digital wallet.”

The letter expresses its concerns to Facebook CEO, Mark Zuckerberg, COO Sheryl Sandberg and Libra/Calibra CEO, David Marcus.

“The letter says that the Libra and Calibra may lend themselves to an entirely new global financial system that is based out of Switzerland and intended to rival U.S. monetary policy and the dollar.”

All of Today’s Bitcoin Price Analysis, Chart Forecasts and Industry News

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Author: Tolu