BTC and ETH Rallies to Confirm Double-Bottom Pattern, Those Sitting in Stablecoins to Take Them Higher

Now that Alameda Research, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, Bitcoin shorts, and speculation over Amazon’s potential involvement in the cryptocurrency sector have done their part. $40k is the point of interest which is the largest OI for the upcoming BTC options expiry this Friday.

In a strong upwards move, Bitcoin has bounced off of $29,350 low last week to $39,800 on Coinbase in the late hours of Sunday or early on Monday.

Up 11% in the past 24 hours and over 21% in the past week, the price of Bitcoin has now reached a level not seen in nearly six weeks.

While Bitcoin has breached the key level of $35,000, Ether also rallied to more than 7% to almost $2,400, a level last seen earlier this month. In the past week, ETH has soared nearly 24%.

With this move, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have confirmed a classic double-bottom pattern. This pattern signals the reversal and the beginning of a potential uptrend.

This uptrend that pushed BTC above the crucial technical level for the first time since early May came in the aftermath of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s conference with Ark Investment Management LLC’s Cathie Wood and Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, where he revealed that he himself owns BTC, ETH, and DOGE and his other company SpaceX is also a long term holder of the leading cryptocurrency. And, of course, he only pumps and never dumps.

Interestingly, FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried’s quant trading firm Alameda Research put a bottom last week.

Alameda is “buying a LOT more over the past day or so,” shared Sam Trabucco, a trader at Alameda. “We’re continuing to buy down here, because it really just seems like too much points that way.”

From here, those sitting on the sidelines in the safety of the stablecoins are expected to drive the market further. Stablecoin supply on crypto exchanges also remains high.

For BTC, $40k is expected to be the level where taking it out convincingly will mean, “we are heading towards $50K quite quickly as there is a lot of crypto native capital that is still sitting on the sidelines,” according to SpartanBlack of crypto fund The Spartan Group. “If we break this level, the bull market is back, and a ton of capital will pile in.”

$40k is also the largest open interest for the upcoming bitcoin options expiry this Friday, as per Skew.

The short squeeze also drove this rally as 103,889 traders got liquidated for $1.14 billion in the past 24 hours. With Binance no more showing complete liquidations, it is expected to be a much bigger figure.

Total open interest on Bitcoin futures also dropped by more than 50k BTC — currently at 349.7k BTC from over 400k BTC less than a week back.

Interestingly, after a brief jump in funding rate, the highest is currently on FTX at 0.0168% and still negative on the majority of the exchanges. On Sunday, the funding rate on FTX and Deribit also decoupled from the rest of the market by being positive.

Trader CL of eGirl Capital meanwhile noted that almost every FTX altcoin September futures have been in multi-week/month backwardation. These fixed interest rate markets are of importance as they are an approx. Summary of OTC desk rates for borrow, he added.

Additionally, “bybit traders have been selling their spot coins, into USDT, and migrating to USDT futures,” which means these traders that dumped all their coins would have to buy back to take part in this rally, stated CL.

Some also attributed this rally to ongoing speculation over Amazon.com’s potential involvement in the crypto sector.

The tech giant is not only hiring for a cryptocurrency and blockchain lead but also looking to accept Bitcoin payments “by the end of the year” with its very own native token to make payments and earn loyalties in on the cards for 2022 reported a media publication citing an insider.

“This isn’t just going through the motions to set up cryptocurrency payment solutions at some point in the future – this is a full-on, well-discussed, integral part of the future mechanism of how Amazon will work,” an Insider told City AM.

“It begins with Bitcoin – this is the key first stage of this crypto project, and the directive is coming from the very top… Jeff Bezos himself.” The plan, which has been ongoing since 2019, apparently also involves moving to other big cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Cardano, and Bitcoin Cash once a fast and secure method of Bitcoin payment is established.

“This entire project is pretty much ready to roll,” they added.

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Author: AnTy

Hindenburg Research Shorts Chinese Bitcoin Mining Maker; Ebang Continues its Fundraising Spree

Hindenburg Research Shorts Chinese Bitcoin Mining Maker; Ebang Continues its Fundraising Spree

The short-seller argues Ebang makes “extraordinary claims” to be a market leader, which is “backed by no evidence,” resulting in EBON shares dumping.

Short-seller Hindenburg Research is shorting Chinese Bitcoin mining machine producer Ebang International Holdings. This sent the shares of the company (EBON) down 20% to $5.53. EBON shares have lost 63% of their value since the mid-March high.

Ebang made its debut on Nasdaq in June last year, and during this period, it has made three fundraising rounds, one in November and two in February this year alone, raking in $170 million in the last two.

According to Hindenburg, Ebang “claims” to be a leading bitcoin miner maker, but their research “indicates no evidence backs this extraordinary claim.” It further goes on to the point that ever since releasing its final miner in May 2019, its sales have been dwindling to near-zero, “delivering only 6,000 total miners in 1H20.”

The ongoing bull run has fueled a surge in fundraising in the crypto sector, which raised $2.6 billion in just three months, more than the amount raised in the entire last year.

Hindenburg has also been short on another Chinese blockchain company and took short positions in electric vehicle companies, including Nikola Corp, Lordstown Motors, insurer Clover Health, and Kandi Technologies Group Inc in the past year.

According to the firm, its research revealed that instead of using the capital proceeds to develop its business, Ebang has been moving the cash out of the company through “a series of opaque deals with insiders and questionable counterparties.”

Interestingly, this week, Ebang also announced the closing of its previously announced best-efforts follow-on public offering for the sale of 14 million units at a purchase price of US$6.10 per unit, for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately US$85.4 million.

The company intends to use its net proceeds to expand its crypto mining business and for the establishment and operation of the mining farms, crypto exchange, and general corporate purposes.

As we reported, Ebang announced the launch of its cryptocurrency exchange just this week, which Dong Hu, Chairman, and CEO of the company, said, “will not only expand the revenue sources from our cryptocurrency business but also optimize the development of our blockchain industry chain.”

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Author: AnTy

Bitcoin Longs Making an All-Time High, What’s Incoming $5,000 or $10,000?

  • BTC/USD shorts meanwhile nearing lowest levels
  • BitMEX funding rate for Dec on track for the lowest high since March
  • Open interest on CME Bitcoin futures registers an uptick but it’s “negative for potential realized volatility”
  • Bitcoin can go to either $6,000 or test 10,000 level on a 3-month time horizon

Bitcoin is the best performing asset of not only 2019 but of the decade. If you would have invested $1 in Bitcoin in 2010, that would have been worth $100,000 today.

As such it makes sense that Bitcoin must be part of everyone’s portfolio as pointed by Weiss Crypto Ratings,

“Many Wall Street veterans are in agreement. The returns from stocks and bonds will be sluggish over the next decade. Time to add crypto to your savings plans.”

However, this is just starting. BTC/USD is currently trading at $7,069 on extremely low trading volume of just $150 million and is down 65% from its all-time high of $20,000.

And this is why traders are long on the world’s leading cryptocurrency. BTC/USD longs has actually climbed to its all-time high on Bitfinex.

BTCUSD Longs, Source: TradingView

However, crypto trader Josh Rager says people are over-focusing on this chart and giving it way more credit than it actually needs.

Because Bitfinex allows users to trade up to 3.3x leverage, this means BTC price would have to move down to mid to low 5ks minimal in order to liquidate these longs.

But Rager says it is “highly unlikely” that price will nose dive straight to $5k right now. On its way down, there would be several bounces in between.

To get an understanding of the sentiment and interest in the Bitcoin market, we need to pay attention to the BitMEX funding rate and open interest which he says are better indicators.

The Bitcoin funding rate on BitMEX for December is on track for the lowest high since March and in the tightest range since February.

In stark contrast to Bitfinex’s longs, the BTC funding rate on BitMEX is pinned at 0.03%. The number of times the rate has been pinned at 0.03% on a daily basis continues to rise still and in Q4 of 2019 it represented about 40.5% of observed periods, notes analyst Rptr45.

BTC/USD shorts, on the other hand, have reached almost to its lowest level. The has the Bitfinex L/S ratio also at an ATH but as Rptr45 points out without an obvious funding justification which was the case in previous break-outs as well.

BTCUSD Shorts, Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, there has been an uptick in open interest from the last few weeks on CME Bitcoin futures.

As per the Commitment of Traders (CT) report, the OI as of Dec. 12th has been only 116 million and on the lower end of the spectrum.

Digital asset advisory firm BitOoda views this as “negative for potential realized volatility in the short term.”

“Assuming the COT as OI for institutional investors and BitMex OI for retail and high net worth individuals, we could potentially see a set up to buy vol in the new year if the CME/Bakkt OI grows.”

This could help the futures market and further lead the way for realized volatility just like it has in the past. With the retail market already having a lot of exposure, the firm expects Bitcoin to either go back to $6,000 or test the 10,000 level on a 3-month time horizon.

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Author: AnTy