Decentralized Prediction Market Polymarket is Under CFTC Investigation: Report

Decentralized Prediction Market Polymarket is Under CFTC Investigation: Report

New York-based decentralized prediction market Polymarket is under the scrutiny of a top Wall Street regulator.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating whether Polymarket is letting customers improperly trade binary options or trade swaps and if it should be registered with the agency, according to a Bloomberg report citing people familiar with the matter.

The firm, however, is not accused of any wrongdoing, and CFTC investigations do not always lead to enforcement cases.

“Polymarket is firmly committed to complying with applicable laws and regulations and to providing information to regulators that will assist them with any inquiry,” a spokesman for the firm said in response.

The company also has law firm Sullivan & Cromwell partner James McDonald handling the probe, who was head of the CFTC’s enforcement division until last year, Bloomberg said, citing sources.

Since launching last year, Polymarket has facilitated about 4 billion shares. Trades on the prediction market are made using the stablecoin USDC.

Amidst this, the company is in talks with investors on a new round of funding that would value it at about $1 billion. Last year, Polymarket raised $4 million in venture capital.

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Author: AnTy

Despite ETH Hitting A New ATH, Ethereum’s DeFi Market Share Drops by 30% in the Past Year

Despite ETH Hitting A New ATH, Ethereum’s DeFi Market Share Drops by 30% in the Past Year

The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector has been seeing some price action since last month, but it is extremely slow compared to the rest of the market.

At a $150.5 bln market cap, DeFi has hit the all-time high from mid-May. But DeFi blue-chips like Uniswap, YFI, and Aave are not leading these gains; the likes of Olympus and Spell that are termed DeFi 2.0 are the ones behind the latest interest in DeFi.

However, the total value locked (TVL) in the DeFi is seeing real growth and hitting new ATHs. Today, it reached yet another one at $244.56 billion, according to DeFi Llama.

The most popular layer 1 blockchain Ethereum also hit a new ATH with the value locked at $162.6 bln, up from $75 bln in late May. MakerDAO is currently the dominant project on Ethereum with $16.62 bln of assets.

But it’s not just Ethereum anymore; over the past year, the multi-chain universe has been expanding, and all of these other layer 1 blockchains together account for 34% of the overall DeFi TVL.

These other blockchains also cover Ethereum layer 2 blockchain Arbitrum, which has also amassed $1.96 bln.

When it comes to other layer 1’s, Binance Smart Chain is at the top with $20.62 bln TVL, finally starting to grow this month after four months of sideways action. Just two weeks back, Binance announced a $1 billion incentive program to attract projects and developers back to BSC.

During the May mania, the TVL on BSC hit its peak at $32.6 bln as it offered a cheaper and faster alternative to Ethereum and is now trying to bring back that action.

Solana is another big competitor to Ethereum, which has the backing of FTX CEO and founder Sam Bankman Fried. At $13.53 bln, its TVL continues to hit new highs as it joins the NFT mania, and investors who missed the ETH train see SOL as their opportunity to have a high-performing asset in their long-term portfolio.

The latest stars of the layer 1 world are Terra and Avalanche with $9.97 bln and $8.2 bln in TVL respectively. With cheaper fees, liquidity programs, and burns, these two are currently ruling the layer 1 blockchain competition.

Their tokens LUNA and AVAX are also enjoying this traction, having hit their ATHs in about the last one month at $50 and $80, respectively.

Fantom (FTM) is another popular one at $4.91 bln, while Polygon (MATIC), which was extremely popular between April to July among the newcomers, has since lost its charm and is now at $4.64 bln has less than half of its TVL ATH.

Other notable mentions include Celo with $1 bln in assets and Harmony (ONE), whose TVL is $325 mln, growing since early July.

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Author: AnTy

Tether (USDT) Market Cap Surpasses $70 Billion, Majority Issued on Tron Blockchain

As the price of Bitcoin hits a new all-time high of $67,000, the market cap of the largest stablecoin, Tether (USDT), has gone to surpass $70 billion in market cap.

The majority of Tether’s 70 billion supply, 51.42%, is issued on Tron (TRX) blockchain at almost 36 billion, followed by Ether which has 33.85 billion USDT supply circulating on its blockchain.

The rest of the USDT supply is scattered on other blockchains, including Omni, Solana, Algorand, EOS, Liquid, and SLP.

After growing 41.7 billion in the first half of this year to nearly 63 billion, Tether supply had a pause until early August. After adding 8 billion in the next month, Tether supply growth has been resting yet again since early last month, only to come back into action in October as traders and investors try to chase the bulls.

USDT’s dominance, however, has been on a decline ever since June last year when it was just above 86%. In the last 17 months, Tether’s stablecoin dominance has lost 30% of its share to now sit at 56.8%. Much of this has been lost to Circle’s USDC, whose market share went from 8% to 25.7%.

Amidst this growth, short-seller Hindenburg Research has launched a $1 million “bounty” program for information on the stablecoin company.

“We feel strongly that Tether should fully and thoroughly disclose its holdings to the public.”

“In the absence of that disclosure, we are offering a $1m bounty to anyone who can provide us exclusive detail on Tether’s supposed reserves.”

Nathan Anderson Hindenburg Founder

Hindenburg also said that it did not hold any long or short positions on Tether, Bitcoin, or any other cryptocurrency.

“This stunt from Hindenburg Research is a pathetic bid for attention,” Tether responded in a statement.

“Tether abhors and denounces their actions and transparent motives.”

Days before Hindenburg’s announcement, the US commodities regulator charged Tether with a fine of $41 million over falsely representing that USDT was fully backed by fiat currency. Tether did not admit or deny the wrongdoing.

Recently, crypto lender Celsius Network also said that Tether issues new stablecoins in exchange for collateral in the form of crypto, such as bitcoin, as part of its lending program.

“If you give them enough collateral, liquid collateral, Bitcoin, Ethereum and so on . . . they will mint tether against it,” said CEO Alex Mashinsky. “New USDT is issued for such loans,” and later destroyed when the loan is paid “so it does not permanently increase USDT in circulation.”

Earlier this month, Bloomberg reported that Celsius had borrowed $1 billion worth of USDT from Tether.

Mashinsky, meanwhile, further clarified that the loans of USDT are typically at least 30% overcollateralized.

“We have a select, small group of customers that borrow USDTs in exchange for posting security. These loans are secured by collateral in Tether’s possession of well in excess of 100% of the loan proceeds and earn monthly interest,” Tether told FT, adding:

“This practice is common to other stablecoin issuers. This lending is undertaken narrowly, efficiently, securely, and profitably.”

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Author: AnTy

Cboe Planning A Re-Entry Into The Market By Acquiring Regulated Futures Exchange ErisX

Cboe is Planning A Re-Entry Into The Market By Acquiring Regulated Futures Exchange ErisX

Cboe Global Markets wants back in on the cryptocurrency market, and the latest step towards this direction is entering into a definitive agreement to acquire Eris Digital Holdings, a US-based spot exchange, and CFTC regulated futures exchange and clearinghouse.

In May this year, Cboe had filed for investment giant Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF, saying concerns about potential manipulation of a Bitcoin ETF have been “sufficiently mitigated.”

Cboe had started feeling the FOMO last year when in December, it announced that it would launch a suite of tools, including crypto indexes, real-time ticks, and historical data.

The platform was the first to launch Bitcoin futures, along with CME, at the peak of the 2017 bull market. But after going through the 2018 bear market, in March 2019, Cboe delisted Bitcoin futures, when the price of BTC was about $4,000. Two years later, this March, Chairman, and CEO Ed Tilly said they “haven’t given up on” bitcoin futures.

Today, Bitcoin is trading at an all-time new high above $67,000.

While CME is leading regulated Bitcoin futures space with open interest on an all-time high of $4.77 billion with the first Bitcoin Futures ETF launch, Cboe is making a reentry through ErisX.

It plans to operate the crypto-asset business as Cboe Digital.

“I am confident that together we can not only meet the growing demand for institutional and retail trading solutions but also push the boundaries of digital asset innovation and unlock its next phase of growth.”

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Author: AnTy

Automated Market Maker Glide Finance Exploited, Post-Mortem Reveals It Was The Teams Own Fault

Automated Market Maker Glide Finance Exploited, Post-Mortem Reveals It Was The Teams Own Fault

A little-known DEX, Glide Finance, was exploited for $300,000 late on Sunday, and funds were drained from their pair contracts.

The audit protocol said while diagnosing the root cause of the exploit, they found that it wasn’t the smart contract auditor Paladin Blockchain Security’s fault, rather their own. The team said,

“We made a fee parameter change post-audit and failed to update a number from 1000 to 10000 on the contract.”

“We are ashamed and disappointed in ourselves to have made such a mistake, as it could have easily been avoided with better due-process.”

The project is now contacting cryptocurrency exchanges to block transfers and has asked its users to withdraw any funds still deposited in Glide liquidity pools.

The Glide Finance team has also delayed the launch of farming on Tuesday, which would have allowed users to earn GLIDE tokens for liquidity mining and staking.

Glide Finance is the first automated market maker (AMM), yield farming, and staking platform on Elastos Smart Chain (ESC), a sidechain to the Elastos mainchain that supports Solidity smart contracts. The project runs on a DPoS consensus mechanism to deliver a high-performance, scalable solution for the Elastos ecosystem.

80% of all swap fees on the platform are converted to ELA tokens and shared with platform users. According to the website, there are currently less than $650 worth of assets locked on the platform and one circulating GLIDE.

The team has released a request form for the victims to fill out their addresses if their balances are incorrect or their address has appeared on a list of affected addresses.

“We have not yet determined how reimbursement and/or resolution will occur but we are working on it.”

“We hope we can recover from this and move forward, but we realize our reputation may be irreparably damaged.”

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Author: AnTy

CME Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Cracks A New ATH, Ethereum Aims for $4k Again

Excitement is creeping back again in the cryptocurrency market as prices start to show early signs of an upcoming rally.

Currently trading around $57,500, late on Wednesday, Bitcoin went to surpass $58,600. $60,000 is now the target that would take us to mid-April levels when we hit an all-time high of $64,850.

Ether hit $3,820 on Thursday. This renewed interest in the second-largest cryptocurrency has ETHBTC trending up from 0.06 to 0.6654 with the next resistance sitting at just above 0.07.

Both Bitcoin and Ether are currently about 11% to 14% away from their respective ATHs.

With the top asset pumping, the total market cap also went past $2.5 trillion, with other notable gainers including DOT (18%), HBAR (11%), LINK (11%), and MINA (10%) in the past 24 hours while in the past week, STACKS (58%), OHM (57%), ONE (34%), and FTM (31%) hogged the limelight.

For the last two days, the US dollar index is also trending down, currently at 93.960, after hitting one year-high at 94.5 on Tuesday.

This time the prices are pumping in anticipation of a Bitcoin ETF approval propelled by SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s support for CME futures-based exchange-traded funds.

Open interest on Bitcoin futures is also spiking significantly, reaching $20.77 billion, a level that was last seen on May 10th and April 20th, according to Bybt.

With CME’s futures the basis of these ETFs, it makes sense that OI on the regulated platform has already hit a new all-time high at $3.23 billion.

The price action has started to have an effect on funding rates as well which were negative just last month, while currently, the highest is on OKEx at 0.0479%.

“BTC quarterly annualized rolling basis now at 15%. This basis hit 51% around the April 2021 top and 26% at the 2019 top. There’s room,” said trader and economist Alex Kruger.

Amidst the return of euphoria in the crypto market, Michael Burry of ‘Big Short’ fame who made his fortune by betting against the housing bubble, has crypto in his sight, but the sad thing is he doesn’t really know how to short crypto.

Before asking “how do you short a cryptocurrency,” Burry also commented on the crypto industry experiencing the speculation that “probably tops anything in history.” And the Crypto Twitter (CT), of course, couldn’t help but take a jab at him.

“Imagine knowing this and not taking part in it,” commented popular crypto investor CT Degen Spartan.

“My thesis is that the crypto bubble will be 100x the insanity of the tulip bubble. People will be taking on multigenerational debt to fund their punts, either in the fear that they get left behind in fiat or the greed that they can hyper gamble their bloodline into elite status.”

Last week, Burry had dismissed popular meme coin Dogecoin (DOGE) competitor Shiba Inu (SHIB) as “pointless.” Currently trading at $0.00002878, SHIB is down 24% from its May high of $0.00003791 but is up 51076422.9% in about a year.

The fund manager had compared the excitement around bitcoin and meme stocks to the housing boom and the dot-com bubble and warned that they’ve been “driven by speculative fervor to insane heights from which the fall will be dramatic and painful.”

Known for investing in the traditional memecoin GameStop, Burry inadvertently paved the way for the short squeeze on the stock in January that sent GME’s share prices skyrocketing.

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Author: AnTy

US Dollar Hits One-Year High But Bitcoin No Longer Holds an Inverse Correlation with it

The crypto market is feeling some blues as the Bitcoin price gets back under $55,000.

The week started on a bullish note as Bitcoin went to nearly $58,000, recording a 32.5% uptrend in October. Late on Tuesday, the price dipped to $53,700 only to recover back above $56,600 in the next few hours.

“We believe the market is healthy, and these are, in fact, normal pullbacks that are to be expected,” said Philippe Bekhazi, CEO and co-founder of crypto trading platform XBTO.

“The market is seemingly pricing in the probability of an ETF approval this month. So profit-taking is natural.”

Bitcoin going red has the total market cap also sliding by 4% in the past 24-hours but still keeping well above $2.34 trillion.

Much like in the Q4 of 2020 when Bitcoin gradually made its way to 2017 all-time high of $20,000, after the lacking performance in the second half of Q2 and the Q3, the leading cryptocurrency is flirting with a run towards its ATH of nearly $65,000.

This, however, has been happening while the dollar is near its one-year high. The US dollar index dropped on Wednesday to 94.3 after making a new 2021 high at 94.56 just the day before, a level last seen in late September.

However, Bitcoin no longer holds an inverse correlation with the USD, according to Kaiko’s latest report.

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Historically, BTC has moved in the opposite direction to the US dollar, but this trend seems to have dissipated this year. Both the currencies have been experiencing an upward trajectory in contrast to traditional equities, which closed in September with their worst performance since the start of the pandemic.

“Bitcoin’s rising correlation with the DXY suggests that despite a growing risk-off environment, both fiat and crypto assets are treated similarly by investors,” wrote Kaiko.

The Bullish and the Bearish

Meanwhile, the crypto community has started to get bullish yet again, with many calling for new peaks for the trillion-dollar crypto asset in the historically bullish Q4.

While Vijay Ayyar, head of Asia Pacific with crypto exchange Luno sees a record high for Bitcoin at around $80k and $85k possible, others are seeing $100k getting breached this time.

Technically, Bitcoin’s run-up has activated an inverted head and shoulders chart pattern that can see the cryptocurrency climbing to $79k.

As we have reported for the past couple of days, the open interest for Bitcoin derivatives contracts has also been increasing rapidly, now sitting around $20 billion, the level last seen in mid-May. The funding rate has also started to increase, with the highest currently on Deribit at 0.0363%.

In the options market, open positions for the $80k strike call for December 2021 expiry now vastly surpass those for the $40k strike put, according to data from options exchange Deribit.

Not to mention, optimism that the first Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF) may be approved by the SEC as soon as this month has traders and investors jumping back into Bitcoin.

That’s why this week’s decline is “not cause for concern,” according to James Butterfill, an investment strategist at CoinShares.

“It hasn’t broken trend and the fundamentals of increase chances of an SEC approval and increasing institutional adoption are likely to be supportive of price in the coming weeks.”

However, not everyone thinks the approval is coming. “The market is over-emphasizing (SEC Chairman) Gary Gensler’s public comments about support for the (CME) and futures,” said Jeff Dorman, CIO at digital asset management firm Arca.

“We believe the concerns the SEC has raised historically regarding market manipulation of bitcoin and unregulated exchanges have not been solved.”

Besides CME’s future basis rising fast, signaling a lot of buying, the Rothschild Investment Corp. disclosed an increase in their GBTC and ETHE holdings. It now owns 138,790 shares of GBTC and 303,554 ETHE, up from 141,405 GBTC and 13,817 ETHE shares, respectively.

However, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is back to flashing “greed” at a reading of 70 when just last month it was 44 and in “fear” territory. Just yesterday, the index showed “extreme greed” in the market at a reading of 78, so market sentiments are fast-changing and led by price.

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Author: AnTy

BIS Consults on Proposal to Apply the Same Principles as Financial Market to “Systemically Important” Stablecoins

BIS Consults on the Proposal to Apply the Same Principles as Financial Market to “Systemically Important” Stablecoins

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and the IOSCO group of securities regulators published proposals on Wednesday on how the current rules for clearinghouses and payments services should also be applied to “systemically important” stablecoins.

These proposals are currently put out for public consultation before they can be finalized early next year.

With nearly a $70 billion market cap, USDT is currently leading the stablecoin market with its share at 57.2%, followed by the rapidly growing USDC, which accounts for 25.4% of market share with its market cap at $32.8 billion.

According to the report, regulators don’t intend to create additional standards for stablecoin instead build on the principles developed for critical financial market infrastructure in 2012.

As per the rules, a stablecoin operator must set up a legal entity. These rules will also need to be followed by countries that allow stablecoins to operate.

The principles further include clear disclosure of management structure and arrangements with affiliates.

The author of the report said stablecoins should have “little or no credit or liquidity risk.” He further advised the stablecoin regulatory framework to consider whether the holder is making a legal claim against the issuer or underlying asset.

“This report marks significant progress in understanding the implications of stablecoin arrangements for the financial system and providing clear and practical guidance on the standards they need to meet to maintain its integrity.”

Ashley Alder International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) Chair

Discussed on the proposed framework will last for eight weeks.

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Author: AnTy

Tis the Season for Bitcoin: BTC Reclaims Trillion Dollar Market Cap as Banks Capitulate & Stocks Tumble

September’s headwinds for bitcoin “have positioned the market to rally higher into and throughout Q4,” which is historically its best quarter, with an average return of 119%.

Bitcoin is back to leading the market.

After hitting an all-time high at about $65,000 in mid-April, Bitcoin had taken a back seat to let the altcoins experience a face-melting rally.

But now, after almost six months, Bitcoin has taken the reins back. On Wednesday, the price of BTC pumped as high as $55,700. This level was last seen on May 12, during the sell-off.

With this latest spike, Bitcoin has yet again become a trillion-dollar asset.

October is turning out to be a bullish month after the red month of September. Historically, not only Sept. has seen negative returns, but Q4 has also seen a substantial run-up.

Kraken Intelligence also noted in its research blog that September’s headwinds for bitcoin “appear to have positioned the market to rally higher into and throughout Q4.” It added that the Q4 is bitcoin’s historically best quarter, with an average and median return of 119% and 58%, respectively.

Futures Dominating Market

In the futures market, the funding rate on Bitcoin perpetual contracts is still normal, with the highest on FTX at 0.0320%. Delphi Digital stated,

“As BTC began to rally into October, basis didn’t rise as aggressively as one would’ve imagined. BTC has become a perpetuals and futures-dominated market.”

As for open interest for Bitcoin futures, it has climbed to $17.4 billion to early September levels.

OI for BTC options is on the rise as well, currently at $8.56 billion.

“The uptick coincided with BTC’s rally into the beginning of October. After a large expiry, OI tends to bounce back as freed-up capital from expirations moves back into the market.”

Banks are Capitulating

This week, we saw US Bancorp launching a crypto custody service for institutional investment managers and Bank of America Corp publishing its first crypto research coverage. Also, Soros Fund owns Bitcoin, revealed the CEO Dawn Fitzpatrick.

“The banks are capitulating one by one,” said Martha Reyes, head of research at digital asset prime brokerage BEQUANT.

“For those of us working in the space, the fact that it’s too big to ignore is hardly news, and the regulators certainly aren’t ignoring it.”

Bitcoin pumping is not only good for BTC itself but altcoins as well, as this means big players are entering the market, and it’s not just a few players trying to cash out and manipulate small market-cap coins.

During this bulls onslaught, altcoins are seeing gains, with Ether going to $3,625. Today’s other big gainer includes SHIB (24%), which has been enjoying a rally since the beginning of this week. ETH 1.91% Ethereum / USD ETHUSD $ 3,586.89
$68.511.91%
Volume 21.87 b Change $68.51 Open $3,586.89 Circulating 117.82 m Market Cap 422.61 b
6 h Tis the Season for Bitcoin: BTC Reclaims Trillion Dollar Market Cap as Banks Capitulate & Stocks Tumble 11 h Shiba Inu (SHIB) Leads the Crypto Market, Currently the Most Traded Asset on Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi 1 d Citadel Founder Says Regulating Crypto Will Make It “A Smaller Market” And “That’ll Be Good”
SHIB 62.48% SHIBA INU / USD SHIBUSD $ 0.00
$0.0062.48%
Volume 15.27 b Change $0.00 Open $0.00 Circulating 10 t Market Cap 11.13 b
6 h Tis the Season for Bitcoin: BTC Reclaims Trillion Dollar Market Cap as Banks Capitulate & Stocks Tumble 11 h Shiba Inu (SHIB) Leads the Crypto Market, Currently the Most Traded Asset on Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi 2 d Shift to Risk-on: Bitcoin Is Up 12% Already in Uptober Amidst Stock Market Weakness

The total market cap is now aiming for $2.4 trillion.

Stocks Are Taking A Beating

While Bitcoin and crypto are rejoicing with gains, global equity markets slid. The S&P 500 fell 0.77% and Nasdaq Composite lost 0.51%.

Meanwhile, the dollar rose 0.413% to 94.4 after a strong private payrolls report and surging energy prices fueling the inflation outlook and expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon start tapering.

However, while US private payrolls increased by 568,000 in September, according to the employment report from ADP, it has been an unreliable predictor of the non-farm payrolls data the Labor Department will release on Friday.

After warning about a 20% plunge in US stocks to be a real possibility about two weeks ago, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson is now saying that this correction would be led by tech stocks because “earnings estimates are too high.”

“We’re in the final phase of this mid-cycle transition where growth is decelerating and markets correct.”

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Author: AnTy

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Leads the Crypto Market, Currently the Most Traded Asset on Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Leads the Crypto Market, Currently the Most Traded Asset on Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi

Shiba Inu enthusiasts have also made a petition to get the SHIB token listed on Robinhood, which has gained 200,952 signatures so far.

The latest coin leading the crypto market is Shiba Inu (SHIB).

Up more than 240% in the past 7-days, the SHIB token is currently trading at $0.00002380. Even more exciting is that from its low in late November, SHIB is up a whopping 41,673,167%.

Despite the recent gains, the funding rate on SHIB perpetual contracts is still negative, as per Bybt, which gives hope to an extension of this uptrend.

Just five months back, SHIB had made a new all-time high of $0.00003791 and is currently down 38% from this peak.

Much like in May, the volumes for the crypto asset are seeing a big spike for the last couple of days.

Additionally, much of this trading activity is actually happening on the biggest cryptocurrency exchanges, namely Binance, Coinbase, and Huobi. According to CoinGecko, in the past 24 hours, Binance had recorded $4.2 billion, Coinbase $1.85 billion, and $1.13 billion on Huobi in SHIB volume.

Interestingly, on Coinbase, SHIB is doing more volume than Bitcoin right now. 30.32% of Coinbase’s total volume is currently coming from SHIB against USD and USDT, while Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Dogecoin account for 18.19%, nearly 12%, 5.22%, and over 4%, respectively.

It was only about last month that Shiba Inu was made available on Coinbase.com and in its Android and iOS apps.

The same as Coinbase, SHIB is leading the activity on Binance as well by accounting for 13.60% of its total volume, with Bitcoin coming in second at less than 10%. Similarly, about 17% of Huobi’s volume is from SHIB/USDT.

There is also a petition to get the SHIB token listed on Robinhood, which has gained 200,952 signatures so far. The petition reads,

“Dogecoin has been a huge success for Robinhood, and its investors. We have all enjoyed the ride. Shiba Inu is a similar meme coin with genuine potential.”

With Robinhood having 18 million accounts and the original meme coin DOGE already a success on the platform, such a listing is not only a lucrative opportunity for SHIB holders but also for the online brokerage company.

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Author: AnTy