Bitcoin Re-Entering the ‘Intense Historical Trading’ Area Following a Strong Uptrend

Bitcoin is back at near $11,000.

The leading digital currency has been making its way upwards since the mid of last week. Today, to mark the starting of a new week, Bitcoin went as high as $10,985, re-entering the $10,800 to $11,000 area of intense historical trading.

With the move, BTC has broken through its 30-day moving average — indicative of a strong uptrend and “that large funds are willing to actively purchase on the market.”

Currently, BTC is trading around $10,900 in the green with about $1 billion in ‘real’ trading volume.

“Weekly close looks good and don’t know why people continue to be overly bearish. Bitcoin got a short term pullback, and -20% is nothing unusual. Bitcoin continues to uptrend, and for the third week in a row has closed above the support zone of $9900 to $10,175,” noted trader Josh Rager, adding “$11ks next.”

As for the futures market, the Bitcoin futures curve has widened, albeit modestly, although “given the uncertain macro theme further upside remains somewhat uncertain,” said Denis Vinokourov of London-based broker.

The strong move came following the bullish weekend not only for BTC but also altcoins like KNC, REN, LINK, LEND, and ZRX, which according to Santiment, experienced similar factors like MVRV ratio in the ‘bounceback’ zone, ‘blood in the streets,’ ongoing accumulation, declining crowd interest, and strong fundamentals.

And today, a positive move in BTC price has the altcoins getting green again. Among the top cryptos, Cardano (ADA), with early 11% gains, and Polkadot (DOT) with 8.42%, are leading.

Today’s top gainers include Hegic (46%) and Swipe (40%), while Orion Protocol (76.5%) and Pixie Coin (62%) are the biggest losers.

Becoming Less Volatile

The third quarter is coming to an end this week. September did what it has been doing all those years and ended the month at a loss of -6.7%.

Interestingly, this month, bitcoin has been less volatile than Tesla. In Sept. bitcoin moved less than 1.25% in absolute value 52% of the days, unlike 6% of Tesla.

While the volatility of bitcoin continues to drop, investors are slowly moving to bot trading to capitalize on the price swings. Chinese brokerage service Pionex which has a monthly trading volume of $5 billion on its online brokerage platform, has over 80% of its 100,000 users running a trading algorithm.

The startup with Shunwei Capital and ZhenFund among its backers makes about $3 million by charging a 0.05% fee per transaction. The Singapore incorporated company has 80% of its trades fulfilled by the order books on Binance and Huobi.

“Trading bots let users overcome their humanity flaws and become a rational investor,” said founder Chen Yong.

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Author: AnTy

People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Testing Digital Yuan (DCEP) for Credit Card Payments

China has been aggressively developing its central bank-issued digital currency (CBDC), popularly known as digital yuan. As per the latest reports, the People’s Bank of China is currently running a pilot project to test the use cases of its digital yuan for card payments, fees, credit card payments, and more.

China has been at the forefront of developing a national digital currency called DCEP. The government authorized the research for the project more than five years ago, and many people were speculating for an official launch by September last year. However, digital yuan was eventually made public at the start of 2020, and the PBOC jas been testing various use case for the digital currency ever since.

The first pilot program for DCEP saw it being used as a travel subsidy for government employees in 4 cities. Later the pilot program was expanded to several universal fast food and beverage companies operating in China, which included Starbucks and McDonald’s as well.

Chinese Central Bank Tests Final Use Case for DCEP

As per a report published in the local daily 8BTC, the PBOC is currently testing digital yuans use a case in the credit card ecosystem as it could be a key to bringing in more customers. The trials in the credit card domain are also being seen as the final trial before the much anticipated public launch.

The central bank also revealed three new pilot-free trade zones (FTZ), in addition to the one already functioning in the Zhejiang province. These free trade zones are key to China’s dream of becoming a blockchain hub for enterprises.

The central bank of China also announced three large innovation trial projects, namely the National Small and Micro Enterprise Digital Credit Reporting Pilot, Digital Currency, and Financial Technology Innovation supervision.

While most of the countries have shown interest in researching and developing their own national digital currency (besides Australia), China managed to complete the research and development of its national yuan quietly and is slated to become the first country to launch its own digital currency. It is also important to note that while the national yuan project is being propagated as one of the true CBDCs, but many have warned that digital yuan would not work on a decentralized blockchain. Rather it is a sophisticated way for the government to control the flow of money outside the country.

Whether the project turns out to be what many are speculating, it would be interesting to see how digital currency is rolled out for the world’s most populated country.

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Author: Rebecca Asseh

National Banks & FSAs Can Hold Reserves for Stablecoin Issuers: US Federal Banking Regulator & SEC

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) issued new guidance regarding stablecoins on Monday.

“National banks and federal savings associations currently engage in stablecoin-related activities involving billions of dollars each day,” said Acting Comptroller of the Currency Brian P. Brooks.

“This opinion provides greater regulatory certainty for banks within the federal banking system to provide those client services in a safe and sound manner.”

As per the letter from the US federal banking regulator, national banks and federal savings associations (FSA) are allowed to hold “reserves” on behalf of their customers who issue stablecoins, and those coins are held in hosted wallets, those controlled by a trusted third party.

This means unhosted wallets, which are controlled by the individual user who owns the cryptos being stored, are not part of this announcement.

The SEC also issued a response to OCC’s guidance, in which it says whether a stablecoin is security will depend on “facts and circumstances determination,” which will require the analysis of the instrument.

The regulator asked the market participants to structure and sell a digital asset in such a way that “it does not constitute a security and implicate the registration, reporting, and other requirements of the federal securities laws.”

Bullish!

Jeremy Allaire, the co-founder and CEO of Circle, which along with Coinbase, has launched its own stablecoins called USD Coin (USDC), called this a “significant progress for the advancement of digital dollar stablecoins in the US financial system.”

This will “help the United States and the US dollar to continue its leadership role in the world economic system,” he said.

According to him, national banks allowing to hold reserves for fiat-backed stablecoins will provide businesses, fintech firms, and banks have “more confidence in building on this innovation.”

In 2020, stablecoins have exploded, currently around $20 billion, with Tether (USDT) accounting for more than $15.5 billion of it and USDC with 500% growth YTD $2.3 billion.

Market participants see it as bullish news, with one trader commenting, “Basically enables a LOT more money to funnel into crypto, if stablecoin providers don’t have to scramble for banks to hold the reserves.”

Related: European Countries Support EU Stablecoin Regulation

Also Read: BoE Gov. Calls for Global Standards for Stablecoins, Instead of Playing Catch Up

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Author: AnTy

China Should Seize the ‘First Mover’ Advantages of Launching A CBDC: PBoC

China should aim at becoming the first country to issue digital currency as part of its efforts to internationalize the yuan and lessen its over-dependence on the world’s dollar-dominated payment system, the People’s Bank of China (Chinese central bank) said.

The commentary appearing in China Finance, a People’s Bank of China run magazine, opined that the rights and capacity to offer and control digital currencies is set to become the ‘new battlefield’ among various sovereign nations. The article also claims that issuance and the circulation of virtual currency will alter the current international financial system.

The article argues that China should aim at becoming a first mover in the digital currencies space and calls for the acceleration of the development of the country’s CBDC.

“China has many advantages and opportunities in issuing fiat digital currencies, so it should accelerate the pace to seize the first track,” says the article.

Also, the article argues that data feedback from a Chinese central bank-issued digital currency (CBDC) would be vital for the development of a national monetary policy, which is imperative for economic recovery in the post-pandemic landscape.

The article also revealed that PBoC’s digital currency research outfit had filed approximately 130 patents related to crypto applications touching on issuance, circulation, and implementation.

The People’s Bank of China’s research institute was founded in 2015 to look at the feasibility and implementation process of digital currencies, to reduce the costs of circulating fiat currency and enhance policymakers’ grip in the money supply ecosystem.

Last month, various state-run Chinese commercial banks embarked on large-scale piloting of the digital wallet, which is a step closer to the highly awaited official launch of the digital currency. PBoC revealed last month that about 400 million people are involved in the piloting program for a digital yuan.

The Chinese central bank is looking forward to using the digital yuan during the 2022 Winter Olympic Games.

The article concludes that digital yuan can help in breaking the dollar hegemony in the international monetary system.

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Author: Joseph Kibe

Reserve Bank of Australia Sees No Rush in Launching A CBDC; Aussie Banknotes Are Working

As other nations are rushing to launch central bank backed digital currency dubbed CBDC, Australia is not joining the bandwagon.

As per the Australian local news platforms, the Reserve Bank of Australia recent payments paper indicates that the bank is taking a cautious stand when it comes to CBDCs and privately issued stablecoins.

According to the australian central bank, there is no urgent case or need to introduce a CBDC in the country. The regulator argues that the country has an efficient, real-time payment platform which eliminates the need of a CBDC.

In addition, the regulator notes that the use of cash for transactions is decreasing in the country as Australian citizens are getting rid of banknotes just like in other countries like Sweden.

According to the central bank, despite the COVID-19 crisis in the country, the demand for cash has gone up. In this regard, RBA has committed to continue making it easy for Australians to access banknotes “for as long as Australians wish to keep using them.”

The Reserves Bank’s paper also explored the projects being carried in China, Sweden and Canada – some of the countries which have taken the CBDC initiatives proactively.

When it comes to Sweden, the RBA says that the country has witnessed a significant decrease in the use of cash for a number of years hence the need for Riksbank to come up and test the use of e-krona.

In Canada’s case, the country’s central bank has been preparing itself to provide CBDC when the opportune time comes. The Canadian central bank has envisioned two scenarios when CBDC can be beneficial – a collapse in use of fiat money for normal transactions as well as a threat to the country’s monetary policy as a result of growth and development of privately issued digital money.

The RBA’s report also touches on Facebook’s Libra stating that it still remains a dream and is following closely on whether it be granted regulatory approval to operate in various jurisdictions.

The Australian central bank also opined that the Chinese CBDC project which is at an advanced stage is largely informed by the popularity of private-sector e-money wallets like WeChat and Alipay.

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Author: Joseph Kibe

Euphoria Back in the Market? Bitcoin to Hit $11,000 But Ether is Struggling This Time

The leading digital currency is approaching the levels seen right at the beginning of this month before we went down under $10,000 to hit as low as $9,800.

In a bullish start of the week, bitcoin first hit $10,750 yesterday, and now today, the crypto asset recovered some more and went further up to as high as $10,945 on Bitfinex, for now.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD has been trading at $10,900 in the greens, with real trading volume also slowly climbing to $1.9 billion. The greens have also turned market sentiments from “fear” to “neutral.”

Ether’s Lack of Upside

This time, Bitcoin is leading with Ethereum slow on the uptake, barely in the green at $375.

Just like Ether’s gains have been attributed to the success of DeFi, the underperformance is linked to DeFi as well. Meanwhile, with the Ethereum network already clogged up, the trading activity across DEX will suffer yet again because of the elevated fees.

“This double edged sword notion is nothing new,” said Denis VinoKourovo of London-based broker Bequant but noted, with Ethereum 2.0 on track for a November 2020 launch, it “may soon cause a bit of a stir in the derivatives market place.”

While the much-needed upgrade is on track, Ethereum Foundation also announced the impending launch of a second parallel testament called Spadina, which will run alongside the currently active Medaala testament.

The second “dress rehearsal,” Spadina has a mainnet like configuration. It will last for three days, giving everyone another chance to go through the process of deposits and the launch of the genesis block. VinoKourovo added,

“If markets are indeed underpricing the success of Ethereum2.0 launch, then vol spread between Ethereum vs. Bitcoin will narrow, as it stands 1m IV ETH vs. BTC is 77% vs. 55%, whereas 6m out the same spread is at 82% vs. 72%.”

Rest of the Market

Just like Ether, DeFi tokens aren’t feeling as euphoric either.

In the DeFi space, bZx Network is currently down 22%, which has been because of yet another hacking that resulted in the theft of $8 million worth of cryptocurrency.

Other notable losers include RUNE (8%), CRV (7%), SUSHI (5%), SNX (4%), and COMP (2%).

Meanwhile, YFI is trading in the green by 6.42% at $41,843, along with LPC (3.59%), BAL (3%), UMA (2.35%), and CREAM (1.24%).

But it is KIMCHI, which is leading with 46% gains and YAMV2 with over 13%.

Among the top digital assets, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is up by 4.43% and Crypto.Com Chain (CRO) 3.73%.

Meanwhile BNB (-8.47%), Tron (-4.60%), and LINK (-2%) are recording losses.

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Author: AnTy

Historically, Bitcoin Really Hates September; What Should Traders Expect?

Bitcoin has started September on a bad note.

The digital currency failed to keep above $12,000 and went down to almost $10,000 level on Wednesday.

This resulted in the market sentiments getting overturned fast, from “extreme greed” to “fear.”

Up 38% YTD, bitcoin is down about 50% from its all-time high of $20,000.

Yesterday, the market had relief as BTC stepped up to $10,645, which led investors to expect the weekend to bring good news for the market.

But the market is moving back down today.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD has been hovering around the key psychological level $10,000.

For a brief moment, the digital asset dropped under $10k to $9,975 on Bitstamp.

This isn’t a surprise for two reasons, one – dring the last bull market, bitcoin saw several, as much as nine, pullbacks of 30% to 40% on its way to the peak.

Second – this month isn’t good for bitcoin.

After March and January, September is the worst month for the leading cryptocurrency in terms of average log returns. Five out of seven times, this month has been a red one for Bitcoin and the other two times, it was barely in the green.

So, expectations for greens should be low in September while being prepared to grab the buy the dip opportunities.

The quarter fourth could bring the much-needed reprieve, filled with more green than red.

Historically, September isn’t bad just for bitcoin but also for the stock market.

As a matter of fact, the three leading indexes of the stock market have performed the poorest during the month of September, which got it dubbed as the “September Effect.”

It first happened in the late 1800s when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell an average of 0.8%. And the S&P 500 has been dropping about 1% on average this month since 1950.

There is no plausible theory for this other than that these corrections are caused by tax-loss selling from mutual funds or pent-up suffering from investors who just returned from their summer vacations.

This time, however, lockdown due to coronavirus has people working and vacationing right at their home.

For stock markets, the fear doubles because of the election-related uncertainty. Reportedly, S&P 500 sheds 0.2% on average in the election year.

So, with bitcoin still being a risk-on asset, the stock market expecting more losses, and the month not being bullish for the digital assets either, pains could be ahead for the digital asset.

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Author: AnTy

DCG’s $100 Million Plan to Diminish China’s Dominance on Bitcoin Production

Barry Silbert’s Digital Currency Group has entered into the bitcoin mining world with the announcement of its new wholly-owned subsidiary, Foundry.

“Digital asset mining and staking provide the backbone of the blockchain technology that will drive that advancement,” noted Silbert, the founder and CEO of DGC. The company runs its own mining operations and provides financing and equipment to crypto startups.

Through its fourth subsidiary, Foundry, which was “quietly” formed in 2019, Silbert will be betting $100 million on the mining sector. Genesis, Grayscale Investments, and CoinDesk are the other three subsidiaries of Digital Currency Group.

Mike Colyer, a former Core Scientific executive, and veteran GE, will be heading the company as the chief executive officer.

With this latest venture, Silbert is looking to bring back some of the bitcoin production to the US from China.

China accounts for more than 65% of the global bitcoin hash rate while the US only accounts for just over 7%, as per the data source from the University of Cambridge.

Silbert believes this is a ripe opportunity for North American crypto firms to capture a considerable share of the world’s mining power.

For cheap power, which is abundant in China during the rainy season, Foundry is launching operations in Georgia, Kentucky, North Carolina and upstate New York along with British Columbia and Quebec in Canada.

Moreover, the company has already been working with Shenzhen-based bitcoin miner manufacturers MicroBT and Bitmain towards this goal. Jordan Chen, COO of MicroBT said,

“Foundry’s understanding of the mining industry and DCG’s full support have made it a key partner in our expansion across North America in the past year. We plan to continue collaborating with Foundry as we focus on increasing our global market share.”

Although, as Silbert notes, “The mining space is littered with the carcasses of failed mining efforts,” Foundry is poised to success because of the concerned lawmakers and policy groups in Washington, D.C., about China dominating bitcoin production.

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Author: AnTy

Over 20% Of Central Banks Are Looking to Launch A CBDC In The Next 1-6 Years: BIS Report

  • There’s a growing interest in central banks looking at the possible implementation of digital currency in 2020 than the hype on Bitcoin (BTC), the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) reports.

In research published over the weekend, the Swiss-based BIS reports the growing attention by global central banks on research and development of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in 2020. The paper states the motivations, technical developments and policy approaches towards the launch of CBDCs vary across the central banks with the more innovative countries taking a step ahead.

According to the report, there is an increasing consideration of retail CBDCs across the central banks to provide a publicly usable currency while some consider a wholesale CBDC which “could become a new instrument for settlement between financial institutions.”

The comprehensive 39-page research focuses on over 175 central banks and over 16,000 speeches from recent years. The findings of the report state that central banks controlling a fifth of the world’s population are considering to launch a digital currency. Additionally, over 20% of the banks are fast-tracking their CBDC to launch in the next 1-6 years.

The report further reads,

“A full 80% of surveyed central banks are engaging in research, experimentation or development of CBDCs.”

The tipping point

Per the report, the number of speeches positively talking about digital currencies has surged since the end of 2018. As of July 2020, there were more central bank governors speaking positively about retail and wholesale CBDCs than having negative stances.

The tide seems to have switched with the launch of Facebook-led digital currency, Libra, and the global COVID 19 pandemic, the report states.

“A tipping point was the announcement of Facebook’s Libra and the ensuing public sector response.”

As for COVID 19 pandemic role in implementing CBDCs, several governments are accelerating their research and developments on CBDCs to ease payment systems and curb the spread of the virus through cash payments. The U.S. recently enhanced its efforts to offer a digital dollar “as a means of quickly executing government-to-person payments (CARE package), as an alternative to credit transfers and slow and costly cheques.”

These efforts by central banks have seen the public become more attentive to CBDCs over time. In 2020, BIS reports that internet searches across the world for CBDCs are massively overshadowing searches of Facebook’s Libra and Bitcoin (BTC) – which crossed the $12,000 mark earlier this month.

Central banks entering the digital era

As mentioned above, the technical decisions, method of implementation, and reasons for the launch of a CBDC vary across states and countries. According to the BIS report, countries with higher mobile phone usage and higher innovation capacity are associated with a higher likelihood of developing a digital currency.

So far, three countries, China, Sweden, and Canada, have completed tests on a retail CBDC and 13 countries are actively researching on the launch of a wholesale CBDC. Another 18 countries have published reports on the impact and effects of digital currencies on their economies.

BEG reported this July, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is extending its efforts to launch a CBDC division that will work in cooperation with the U.S. and European governments. The project aims to compete with China’s launch of its digital renminbi (RMB). Other states actively focusing on CBDC include Lithuania, Canada, Cambodia, Thailand, among others.

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Author: Lujan Odera

The Trials of China’s DCEP Focusing on Retail Transactions: Report

The experimental test of China’s sovereign digital currency is currently focused on small retail transactions and hasn’t expanded to large volume transactions yet, said the country’s central bank as reported by local media.

The central bank gave the explanation following the rumors that a housing transaction of large volumes in Shenzhen supported the use of Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP).

An unnamed employee of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) clarified that the digital yuan is the same as fiat currency in legal tender and is a two-way convertible with banknotes in a 1:1 ratio.

The pilot tests of China’s Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP) are ongoing in Shenzhen, Chengdu, and the Xiongan New Area after the country speed up its research and development in the recent years “in a bid to win the global race to launch one and against the backdrop of strained relations with the US.”

The Shenzhen subsidiary of the central bank’s digital currency research unit has also ramped up it’s hiring with more recruitment positions for blockchain development and research engineers posted earlier this month.

More Chinese cities are expected to join the trials next year. Earlier this month, China’s Ministry of Commerce also shared that it will launch DCEP’s pilot test in more “qualified localities” in the Yangtze River Delta, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, the Guangdong-HK-Macao Greater Bay Area, and central and western China.

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Author: AnTy