The losses that came late Thursday night was the biggest decline since the March sell-off. However, the largest cryptocurrency is still up 135% YTD with its investor base widening who are turning to it in search of a hedge against dollar weakness amidst loose monetary policy.
As we reported, just this week, VanEck launched a physically-backed Bitcoin ETP on the Deutsche Boerse Xetra exchange.
With PayPal diving in, the retail investors are piling in to chase the momentum. The volume on ItBit, the exchange service of Paxos, exploded on Nov. 26. BTC/USD accounts for over $50 million in volume.
“It continues to attract both institutional and retail attention as a 21st-century substitute to the gold play,” said Byron Goldberg, who runs the Australian operations for crypto exchange Luno.
Just Noise Against the Larger Bullish Trend
The decline in prices, which has the market in distress even today, as BTC/USD trades under $17k, was exacerbated by unsustainably high leverage. Trader and economist Alex Kruger noted,
“Too many greedy longs bought the top on leverage, and made the price very vulnerable.”
This started soon after the market made a new 2020 high at nearly $19,500. The choppiness in the market is in part due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US. Another reason could be the expiry of 78k Bitcoin options today. Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy at AMP Capital Investors Ltd. in Sydney said,
“After big rallies in shares and various other assets, they are all vulnerable to a bit of a pause.”
“But Bitcoin more than most, as it surged higher far more and had become far more frothy with speculative interest.”
However, the market is showing resilience as any dips were almost immediately absorbed, making it a bullish dumping. Kruger said,
“I’m bullish. This correction represents noise against the larger bullish trend.”
Good to see all blue chips leading the DeFi bounce; that’s how we can know it was a bullish dump. pic.twitter.com/RyNN73LtgT
— Su Zhu (@zhusu) November 27, 2020
“The steep contango structure that prevailed up until now finally narrowed,” said Denis Vinokourov of Bequant.
“Only time will tell whether this is the beginning of a longer and more extensive correction, but the overall market structure is very different to the last time Bitcoin traded near these levels. As such, the base scenario remains intact for now.”